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July 8, 2024
The once-every-five-years Third Plenary Session of 20th Central Committee of Chinese Communist Party (CCP) always has a potential to become a milestone moment in China’s history.
November 10, 2022
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November 7, 2022
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September 28, 2022
Reina en mi espíritu una alegría admirable, muy parecida a las dulces alboradas de la primavera, de que gozo aquí con delicia. Estoy solo, y me felicito de vivir en este país, el más a propósito para almas como la mía, soy tan dichoso, mi querido amigo, me sojuzga de tal modo la idea de reposar, que no me ocupo de mi arte.
November 24, 2021
Economic slowdown will continue as the authorities are willing to sacrifice short-term growth figures to trade for long-term social equality and carbon neutrality, but it will not turn into either Lehman or Volcker Moment.
November 15, 2021
We analyze and clarify the market misperceptions on the "three pillars" of China's new growth model: common prosperity, self-sufficient technology under "dual circulation" strategy and carbon neutrality. We also identify winners and losers of the sectors under the new policy paradigm.
September 22, 2021
We display the recent Evergrande crisis, discuss the possibility of default and the possible reactions by the authorities. We also conclude it will not lead to a systematic risk to the whole economy.
May 22, 2020
On May 22th, in the third session of NPC, Premier Li Keqiang delivered the Government Work Report. The report not only summarized the achievements of China in 2019 but also made a blueprint of every perspective of economic and social development for 2020.
May 11, 2020
COVID-19 is pushing the world economy toward a deep recession that could endure in the long-term. To support the economy, the Chinese authorities have approved various fiscal and monetary policy tools that are suited to the current circumstances.
April 28, 2020
COVID-19 tends to expand current account surplus while increase capital inflows under capital and financial account. Altogether its impact on China's Balance of Payments is limited.
April 22, 2020
China's GDP growth dipped to historical low in Q1 amid COVID-19. The sliding growth calls for more policy stimulus. We believe pro-growth measures will help put China’s growth engine back to the right track. The GDP growth rate will steadily climb up to 7% y/y in Q4, concluding 2020 with a full-year growth outturn of 2.2%.
April 20, 2020
The Chinese government has announced that its GDP has fallen by 6.8% YoY in the first quarter of 2020. The reduction is slightly more than expected and is a result of the unprecedented economic turbulence caused by the COVID-19 outbreak in the country.
