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Published on Monday, October 7, 2019

A more intense slowdown than expected

Summary

The recent review by the INE (Spanish Office of National Statistics) of the Quarterly Accounts came as a surprise, with growth in the second quarter falling below previous progress and the forecasts by analysts and experts.

Key points

  • Key points:
  • The annualized quarterly rate in the second quarter (1.6%) indicates that the slowdown in the Spanish economy is proving more intense than expected in early 2019.
  • In addition, it gives a composition of the aggregate demand that is worse than what we have been dealing with so far.
  • While private consumption stagnated with this downward revision, public consumption grew more than domestic demand, which rose by only 0.4% in annualized quarterly rates.

Geographies

Documents and files

Press Article (PDF)

RafaelDomenech_Incertidumbres_sobre_una-desaceleracion_mas_intensa_de_lo_previsto_Vozpopuli.pdf

Spanish - October 7, 2019

Press Article (PDF)

RafaelDomenech_More_intense_slowdown_than-expected_Vozpopuli_.pdf

English - October 7, 2019

Authors

RD
Rafael Doménech BBVA Research - Head of Economic Analysis
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