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Published on Tuesday, October 23, 2018 | Updated on Wednesday, October 24, 2018

Argentina Economic Outlook. Fourth quarter 2018

Summary

The extended currency crisis led to a renegotiation of the agreement with the IMF which increased funding for the aid package to Argentina. The new, more restrictive monetary program is expected to decelerate inflation and stabilize financial variables. In this more adverse scenario we estimate GDP will fall by 2.4% in 2018 and 0.3% in 2019.

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Documents and files

Presentation (PDF)

Argentina-Outlook-4Q18

English - October 23, 2018

Report (PDF)

ArgentinaOutlook_4Q18

English - October 23, 2018

Presentation (PDF)

PresentacionSituacionArgentina_4T18

Spanish - October 23, 2018

Report (PDF)

SituacionArgentina_4T18

Spanish - October 23, 2018

Authors

MD
Marcos Dal Bianco BBVA Research - Chief Economist
MG
María Celeste González
AH
Adriana Haring BBVA Research - Senior Economist
JM
Juan Manuel Manías BBVA Research - Principal Economist
GS
Gloria Sorensen
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