Published on Friday, June 17, 2016 | Updated on Sunday, May 13, 2018

China | Resilient growth amid policy fine-tuning

Summary

Our monthly GDP model forecast for Q2 GDP increased to 6.6% y/y from its previous projection of 6.4% y/y based on May data. Economic activity indicators appeared to be resilient despite the authorities’ policy fine-tuning on concerns of rising risks. There is no further dip in most activity indicators, except for FAI. Risks to our 2016 GDP growth forecasts remain neutral.

Geographies

Authors

Jinyue Dong BBVA Research - Senior Economist
Le Xia BBVA Research - Chief Economist
Gonzalo De Cadenas Santiago

Documents and files


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Report (PDF)

Edited_China Activity Pulse_June_15

English - June 17, 2016

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