Eurozone | GDP growth still slows gradually, but high uncertainty could take its toll

Published on Friday, December 21, 2018 | Updated on Monday, December 24, 2018

Eurozone | GDP growth still slows gradually, but high uncertainty could take its toll

Summary

According to our MICA model the Eurozone could grow around 0.4% QoQ in 4T18. However, low global demand and high uncertainty are weighing on activity. Hard data improved during October driven by lower inflation, higher wages, increasing production in capital goods and rise in exports. Nevertheless, confidence indicators are worsening by year end.

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Authors

Pedro Ezquiaga
Rodrigo Falbo BBVA Research - Principal Economist
Agustín García BBVA Research - Principal Economist
Miguel Jiménez BBVA Research - Lead Economist
María Moraga Fernández

Documents and files


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Report (PDF)

1812-Eurozone_Watch

English - December 21, 2018

Report (PDF)

1812-Observatorio_Eurozona

Spanish - December 21, 2018

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