Eurozone | Soft data point at growth acceleration in Q4, though downward risks prevail

Published on Friday, December 23, 2016 | Updated on Friday, December 30, 2016

Eurozone | Soft data point at growth acceleration in Q4, though downward risks prevail

Summary

Our MICA-BBVA model estimates growth to increase to 0.4/0.5% QoQ in 4Q (3Q: 0.3%). Improving confidence proved the EZ resilience after political events since the summer, while data so far suggest a slightly more optimistic outlook for coming months supported by export orders and the depreciation of the euro. However, risks (mostly political) remain tilted to the downside.

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Authors

Manuel Cabezas
Rodrigo Falbo BBVA Research - Principal Economist
Agustín García BBVA Research - Principal Economist
Eduardo Gutiérrez
Miguel Jiménez BBVA Research - Lead Economist
Fernando Soto

Documents and files


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Report (PDF)

1612_eurozone_eng_vf

English - December 23, 2016

Report (PDF)

1612_eurozone_esp_vf

Spanish - December 23, 2016

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