Eurozone | Unchanged forecast of steady moderate growth, but downward risks are mounting

Published on Monday, October 29, 2018 | Updated on Tuesday, October 30, 2018

Eurozone | Unchanged forecast of steady moderate growth, but downward risks are mounting

Summary

Eurozone GDP growth has stabilized at lower levels and remains robust on strong domestic demand. We maintain our forecasts unchanged at 2.0% for 2018 and 1.7% for 2019, but leading indicators have moderated, raising concerns about sustained growth in a context of monetary policy normalization, strains on Brexit and Italy's budget and the risk of an intensified trade war.

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Authors

Rodrigo Falbo BBVA Research - Principal Economist
Agustín García BBVA Research - Principal Economist
Miguel Jiménez BBVA Research - Lead Economist
Iñaki Martínez
María Moraga Fernández

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Report (PDF)

1810_Eurozone_Watch

English - October 29, 2018

Report (PDF)

1810_Observatorio_Eurozona

Spanish - October 29, 2018

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