Global Economic Risk Outlook. Third quarter 2018
Published on Monday, September 24, 2018 | Updated on Monday, September 24, 2018
Global Economic Risk Outlook. Third quarter 2018
Summary
This report analyzes the main global economic risk events that could generate a sizable deviation from our baseline scenario. Among them, a full-on trade war, US recession, Fed exit strategy and disorderly deleveraging in China stand out. Although these are usually events of low probability, their feasibility and adverse effects may be large enough to require monitoring.
Geographies
- Geography Tags
- Global
Topics
- Topic Tags
- Macroeconomic Analysis
- Country Risk
Authors
Sara Baliña
Julián Cubero
BBVA Research - Lead Economist
Rodolfo Méndez-Marcano
Jorge Redondo
Documents and files
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