Published on Thursday, December 20, 2018 | Updated on Friday, December 21, 2018
Global | GDP growth shows increasing signs of moderation ahead
Summary
Our BBVA-GAIN model suggests a slight upturn in growth in 4Q18 (0.8% QoQ). There was a positive rebound in hard data in October, but with signs of moderation looking ahead. However, confidence data declined further by year end, especially in developed countries, due to geopolitical risks and trade tensions. Concerns about further slowing in coming quarters are increasing.
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Authors
PE
Pedro Ezquiaga
RF
Rodrigo Falbo
BBVA Research - Principal Economist
AG
Agustín García
BBVA Research - Principal Economist
MJ
Miguel Jiménez
BBVA Research - Lead Economist
MM
María Moraga Fernández