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Published on Thursday, July 23, 2015

LatAm Daily | A more gradual implementation of the fiscal adjustment in Brazil

Summary

The government reduced its primary surplus targets to only 0.15% of GDP in 2015, 0.7% in 2016 and 1.3% in 2017, implying that it will take longer to halt the upward trend in public debt. This downward revision, together with the mid-July inflation figures also released yesterday, increases the likelihood of another 50bp hike of the Selic rate next week.

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Report (PDF)

67413_86589.pdf

English - July 23, 2015

Authors

CP
Cecilia Posadas BBVA Research - Principal Economist
ED
Enestor Dos Santos BBVA Research - Principal Economist
JS
Jorge Selaive
JT
Juana Téllez BBVA Research - Chief Economist
CS
Carlos Serrano BBVA Research - Chief Economist
HP
Hugo Perea BBVA Research - Chief Economist
AF
Alejandro Faci
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