Published on Friday, October 4, 2019 | Updated on Friday, October 4, 2019

Market Comment | Expectation of further Fed rate cuts boosts bond buying

Summary

Risk-off mood prevailed in financial markets this week, with key volatility indicators (VIX and the MOVE) hitting near two month highs amid a string of disappointing US activity data and worsening trade tensions between the US and Europe following WTO’s ruling.

Key points

  • Key points:
  • US payrolls not as soft as it seemed, but wages disappointed.
  • Market expectations of a 25bps Fed rate cut by the end of October increased to 90% amid weak data.
  • Equity indices tumbled but clawed back some losses as expectations of further monetary easing rise.
  • The US dollar weakened slightly.

Geographies

Topics

Authors

Vitor Sun Zou
Cristina Varela BBVA Research - Principal Economist

Documents and files


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Report (PDF)

MC_041019-1.pdf

English - October 4, 2019

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