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Published on Friday, August 2, 2019 | Updated on Friday, August 2, 2019

Market Comment | Risk-off mood prevails as trade tensions escalate

Summary

The main market drivers this week were FOMC meeting and Trump’s China tariff threat. The former had a broadly muted impact on financial markets, as, while it fueled some volatility, markets soon recovered. However, Trump’s surprise threat triggered a dramatic risk-off mood.

Key points

  • Key points:
  • Trump’s China tariff threat triggered a dramatic risk-off mood.
  • Investors sought shelter in bonds. German bond yields reach new all-time lows, with 30 years at negative levels for the first time. The UST 10Y bond yield drops to 2016 lows.
  • Stocks fell while implied volatility increased significantly.

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Report (PDF)

MC_020819.pdf

English - August 2, 2019

Authors

VS
Vitor Sun Zou
CV
Cristina Varela BBVA Research - Principal Economist
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