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Published on Tuesday, March 3, 2020

'The law of silence' and the potential of the Spanish economy

Summary

Since the beginning of the recovery, GDP growth in Spain (2.6% per year) has been one of the highest among the large developed economies and consistently higher than that seen for the EMU as a whole (1.8%), but is this a valid and sustainable point of reference for the coming years?

Key points

  • Key points:
  • The answer depends on whether this performance has been due to a temporary factor or whether it represents a structural improvement in growth capacity.
  • In the case of the Spanish economy, there have been several temporary factors.
  • There are also structural changes—shared by other countries around us—that put downward pressure on growth.

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Documents and files

Press Article (PDF)

MiguelCardoso_La_ley_del_silencio_y_el_potencial_de_la_economia_espanola_Invertia_ElEspanol_WB.pdf

Spanish - March 3, 2020

Authors

MC
Miguel Cardoso BBVA Research - Chief Economist
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