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Published on Thursday, May 12, 2016 | Updated on Thursday, May 12, 2016

The oil impact on EM Europe’s structural current accounts: a tale of two countries

Summary

We examine the oil price effects on the current account balances of the Emerging European economies. To deal with, we decompose current accounts into cyclical and structural components. The emerging Europe (excluding Russia) current account balance is net winner of the new oil paradigm not only in cyclical position but also in structural aspects.

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20160512 The Oil impact of CAD in EM Europe_A tale of two countries (1) (1)

English - May 12, 2016

Authors

AK
Asuman Kemiksiz
�O
Álvaro Ortiz BBVA Research - Head of Analysis with Big Data
AU
Alfonso Ugarte BBVA Research - Principal Economist
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