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Published on Thursday, February 14, 2019 | Updated on Thursday, February 14, 2019

Turkey | Downside surprise in Industrial Production (IP)

Summary

Industrial Production (IP) surprised on the downside by falling 9.8% yoy in calendar adjusted terms in December (-8.4% BBVA Research vs. -7.5% Consensus). Thus, IP contracted by 7.5% in 4Q18 after its 1.6% growth in 3Q18. We maintain our view that the recovery in economic activity could start as of 2Q19 and bring the whole year GDP growth rate to 1% in 2019.

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Authors

Ali Batuhan Barlas BBVA Research - Senior Economist
Adem Ileri BBVA Research - Senior Economist
Serkan Kocabas
Seda Guler Mert BBVA Research - Principal Economist
Alvaro Ortiz BBVA Research - Head of Analysis with Big Data

Documents and files


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Report (PDF)

Turkey-Activity-Pulse-Feb2019_

English - February 14, 2019

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