Published on Monday, December 3, 2018 | Updated on Monday, December 3, 2018

Turkey | Inflation surprised on the downside

Summary

CPI fell by 1.44% in November, lower than (consensus -0.3% vs. BBVA-Research estimates 0.1%). Annual CPI declined to 21.6% from 25.2% in October. Reversal of discount campaigns, tax incentives and unfavorable base effects could bring a transitory increase in CPI in 1Q19; but given the recent supportive external financial conditions, risks are cumulating on the downside.

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Authors

Adem Ileri BBVA Research - Senior Economist
Serkan Kocabas
Seda Guler Mert BBVA Research - Principal Economist
Álvaro Ortiz BBVA Research - Head of Analysis with Big Data

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Report (PDF)

1218_Inf_Pulse

English - December 3, 2018

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