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Published on Wednesday, November 8, 2017

Turkey: IP Confirms Robust Activity in 3Q

Summary

Industrial production growth was up to 10%, from 2Q’s 4.6%. Adding up to the previous year’s contraction our monthly GDP indicator (GBTRGDPY Index at Bloomberg) nowcasts 7.9% yoy (94% info) growth for 3Q. Our models suggest strong growth pattern in for the beginning of 4Q as well, in line with our 6% 2017 GDP growth forecast but with risks that could be on the upside.

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Authors

Asuman Kemiksiz
Alvaro Ortiz BBVA Research - Head of Analysis with Big Data
Seda Guler Mert BBVA Research - Principal Economist
Serkan Kocabas

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Report (PDF)

Turkey-Activity-Pulse-Nov2017

English - November 8, 2017

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