U.S. Economic Outlook. April 2019
Published on Thursday, April 25, 2019 | Updated on Friday, April 26, 2019
U.S. Economic Outlook. April 2019
Summary
GDP growth 2.5% in 2019, and 2.0% in 2020. Model based recession probability above 50%. Probability of Fed rate hike in 2019 diminished; quantitative tightening end in September. Labor market stabilizes after whipsawing. Core inflation stable, headline below 2.0% in 2019. Short-lived technical yield curve inversion, but signaling power altered by structural changes.
Geographies
- Geography Tags
- Global
Topics
- Topic Tags
- Macroeconomic Analysis
Tags
- Tags
- Inflation
- GDP
- Interest rates
Authors
Boyd Nash-Stacey
Documents and files
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