Published on Friday, March 1, 2019 | Updated on Monday, March 4, 2019

U.S. Economic Outlook. February 2019

Summary

GDP growth to slow to 2.5% in 2019, and 2.0% in 2020. Risk of recession remains elevated. Fed to delay raising rates until 4Q19; operational framework and balance sheet strategy adjusted. Labor market conditions remain auspicious. Core inflation to remain stable, modest rebound in energy prices to lift headline. 10-year Treasury to follow shallower path.

Geographies

Topics

Authors

Boyd Nash-Stacey

Documents and files


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Presentation (PDF)

190225_US_Outlook_Feb19

English - March 1, 2019

Presentation (PDF)

1902_US_Outlook_Feb2019_esp

Spanish - March 1, 2019

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