U.S. Economic Outlook. November 2018
Published on Thursday, November 29, 2018 | Updated on Thursday, November 29, 2018
U.S. Economic Outlook. November 2018
Summary
Modest upside risk to growth in 2018, baseline for 2019 unchanged but risks tilted to the downside. Although models suggest low risk of recession, qualitative analysis indicates downside risks are increasing. FOMC remains poised to raise rates in December. Baseline assumes 3 additional increases in 2019. Labor market slack minimal, as unemployment rate nears 50 year lows.
Geographies
- Geography Tags
- Global
Topics
- Topic Tags
- Macroeconomic Analysis
Tags
- Tags
- Inflation
- GDP
- Interest rates
Authors
Boyd Nash-Stacey
Documents and files
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