Publications

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Social Security affiliation declined due to seasonal factors (-242,100), while unemployment increased (38,700). However, after adjusting for seasonality, the number of contributors rose by 35,800, and the unemployed fell by 25,800. The impact of the dana on the labor market appears to have fully reversed.

El crecimiento de la economía ha vuelto a sorprender positivamente. La estimación adelantada de la Contabilidad Nacional Trimestral (CNTR) indica que el PIB aumentó un 0,8 % trimestral (t/t) en el tercer trimestre de 2024, igual que en el segundo. Se anticipa un incremento del PIB del 0,6 % t/t.

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Presentación de BBVA Research en la conferencia conjunta de la Banca d'Italia y la Junta de la Reserva Federal, "Nontraditional Data & Statistical Learning with Applications to Macroeconomics"

Se propone una metodología que combina datos de operaciones con tarjeta de BBVA y de efectivo en supermercados de Frogtek a través de Clarity AI. Se estudian los cambios en patrones de consumo en relación con las variaciones de ingresos, incluyendo la evolución del consumo de bienes y el uso de distintos canales de pago.

Immigration has been a key factor supporting the growth of the Spanish economy in the wake of the pandemic. The labor market, economic and social integration, and training of immigrants all require priority attention from policymakers.

The ECB cut its key interest rates by 25 basis points, as expected, following signals given by Lagarde in September in her speech at the European Parliament, due to lower inflation and weak activity data. We expect another 25 basis point cut in December.