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October 16, 2024
We study the transmission of monetary policy shocks using daily consumption, corporate sales and employment series. We find that the economy responds at both short and long lags that are variable in economically significant ways.
October 1, 2024
Colombia's economic growth will begin to accelerate gradually during the second half of the year. Domestic demand is expected to consolidate by 2025. Growth is projected at 1.8% in 2024 and 2.8% in 2025. Inflation will continue to decrease, enabling the Central Bank to expedite rate cuts from the end of the year.
November 4, 2022
Y, viéndole don Quijote de aquella manera, con muestras de tanta tristeza, le dijo: Sábete, Sancho, que no es un hombre más que otro si no hace más que otro. Todas estas borrascas que nos suceden son señales de que presto ha de serenar el tiempo
October 20, 2022
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetuer adipiscing elit. Aenean commodo ligula eget dolor. Aenean massa. Cum sociis natoque penatibus et magnis dis parturient montes, nascetur ridiculus mus. Donec quam felis, ultricies nec, pellentesque eu, pretium quis, sem. Nulla consequat massa quis enim. Donec.
March 13, 2020
Industrial Production (IP) in January grew by 7.9% yoy in calendar adjusted terms, lower than both the consensus (8.5%). We maintain our GDP forecast at 4%, with obvious risks on the downside depending on both the magnitude and the duration of the Cvirus shock in the economy and particularly in financial markets.
March 12, 2020
The data observed up to February show that GDP would have grown at a rate close to 0.5% QoQ, consistent with a stabilisation of demand and employment at low levels. However, uncertainty about the magnitude of the negative effects of Covid-19 is increasing, implying a significant downward bias
March 6, 2020
Next Monday, March 9, a national strike called “A day without us (women)” will take place. The economic impact is estimated to reach 34,571 million pesos: 23,200 million pesos in paid economic activities and 11,371 million pesos for unpaid work in domestic and care activities.
February 13, 2020
After recovering some traction at the end of 2019, growth could decrease to 0.4% in the first quarter of 2020. Demand composition remains volatile and monthly records continue to show signs of weakness in the labor market
January 31, 2020
The economy grew 0.5% QoQ (1.8% YoY) in Q4. According to the flash estimate of the INE, the internal demand drained growth (-0.4pp QoQ; 1.2pp YoY), dragged by consumption and investment. On the contrary, the external one added up again (0.9pp QoQ; 0.6pp YoY), thanks to exports. In 2019, GDP grew by 2.0% (2.4% in 2018).
