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March 9, 2020

Coronavirus: testing the limits of the expansion and policy

In July 2019, the US officially achieved the largest economic expansion since records began. This growth continued in spite of the obstacles encountered as a result of the trade war with China and the global industrial recession.

January 13, 2020

Big Data techniques used

The charts that show the increase in economic policy uncertainty in Spain

In a recent BBVA Research publication, we presented an economic policy uncertainty index based on the content published in the main national newspapers. What lessons about the current economic situation does the index, which is broken down by subject, offer?

October 21, 2019

Key Factors in the Global Scenario in 2020

In the past week, the International Monetary Fund's autumn economic forecast has been published with a downward revision of growth on a global level.

September 24, 2019

The economic cost of the political blockade

Spain is heading for its fourth general election in four years. The Spanish economy has slowed during this period, with GDP growth falling from 4% at the end of 2015 to 2.1% in the second quarter of 2019.

July 9, 2019

Mexico | The Secretary of the Treasury's Resignation, a bad sign

Carlos Urzúa stated that the lack of support for political decisions was the reason; the reasons for his departure are more worrying than the resignation in itself.

June 6, 2019

What is the cyclical position of the Spanish economy?

Over the last few months, there has been an interesting debate on the cyclical position of the Spanish economy, its potential growth and the output gap.

January 8, 2019

Risks facing the Spanish economy in 2019

The Spanish economy will have grown between 0.4% and 0.5% less in 2018 than in 2017 (+3%), with indications that the slowdown will continue in 2019, in a context of increased uncertainty.

November 13, 2017

Uncertain impact of uncertainty

The economic impact of the tensions currently being experienced in Catalonia is difficult to gauge. One way in which attempts have been made to do so is by constructing indices that seek to calibrate the level of uncertainty felt by households and businesses.