Publications

Here are all of our publications listed chronologically. You can also find the publications relating to single geography under “Publications by geography” or narrow down your search using the “Advanced filter”.

Latest publications about Eurozone

Eurozone | slightly upward growth forecasts, but weakness persists

Eurozone growth forecasts are revised slightly upwards due to better incoming data, but we continue to expect some slowdown from 1.2% in 2019 to 0.9% in 2020 before recovering gradually to 1.2% in 2021.

Eurozone | Some improvement in growth and inflation figures, though risks persist

Eurozone growth stabilized in 3Q19 thanks to the resilience of domestic demand, while the deterioration of industrial production and exports has halted. Our MICA-BBVA model projects still low growth in 4Q19. Core inflation has stepped in November, but it is early to tell if it will be sustainable.

Eurozone | Growth in 2020 revised down

More evident negative effects of worsening global demand and uncertainty on exports and investment explain the downward revision of growth in 2020. Further monetary easing and slightly expansive fiscal policy could help to halt deteriorating confidence and to underpin spending, with increasing divergence across countries.

SBBS: Low risk without mutualisation?

Last week the European Commission presented a proposal for developing a new class of low-risk assets denominated in euros. SBBS, or sovereign bond-backed securities, are securitisations backed by a set of sovereign bonds of euro zone countries. Each SBBS would thus incorporate an exposure to a small part of sovereign bonds of each euro zone Member State.

Deleveraging from Emerging Markets: the Case of Euro-area Banks

This paper shows stylized facts, based on aggregate and sector specific data, on the rather large retrenchment of cross-border lending by Euro-area banks into emerging markets.

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