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December 13, 2019
Country Risk Quarterly Report. Fourth Quarter 2019
Further improvement of sovereign risk measures across the board, driven by a protracted search for yield, against the background of supportive central bank policies, together with better incoming cyclical data, muted inflation and some de-escalation of global uncertainties (trade war)
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April 8, 2019
Risk of economic anemia
The risk that the main developed economies are moving towards a regime of reduced economic growth in the medium term has once again gained relevance in recent months. It has been driven by the increase in the probability of recession in the United States and the eurozone, and the relapse of inflation expectations and long-term interest rates in both regions.
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October 15, 2018
European banks and the challenge of MREL
Who will pay for the next banking crisis in Europe, and how? One of the lessons learnt from the last global financial crisis is that there must be an end to public bail-outs of banks. To achieve this, it is necessary to define which creditors and which liabilities absorb losses in the event of an institution’s resolution.
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May 21, 2018
The power of the ECB’s words and tone
The way the European Central Bank modulates its tone with each announcement has recently become an important tool for keeping track of monetary policy. This has come about since central banks have added specific commitments and credible and transparent communication to their toolbox.
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April 16, 2018
European Central Bank's monetary policy tone index
This Economic Watch introduces the European Central Bank's (ECB) Monetary Policy Tone index developed from ECB documents, using text mining and Natural Language Processing (NLP) techniques. This analysis allows us to objectively identify and track the relevant thehmes within the ECB’s monetary policy discourse.
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November 20, 2017
The new accounting standard: pros and cons
The global financial crisis revealed that the banks had not got the resources sufficient to handle a recession as far-reaching as it turned out to be, of a magnitude only comparable with the Great Depression of the 1930s. To prevent anything similar from happening again, the G20 sponsored new accounting rules in creating new banking provisions known as IFRS 9.
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July 3, 2017
Banking once again focuses on retail
The banking sector is undergoing a significant transformation. In Spain, the old system of 45 savings banks has been reduced to just ten regular banks. In Europe, the number of credit institutions has gone down from 8,600 in 2008 to 6,500 at the start of 2017.
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