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March 27, 2023
El mercado inmobiliario está comenzando a notar la desaceleración económica y la subida de tipos de interés. Este contexto justifica una contracción de las ventas en 2023, pese a lo cual el nivel seguirá siendo elevado. La iniciación de viviendas se estancará en 2023 y el precio nominal crecerá en torno al 2%..
March 22, 2023
Real estate market is starting to feel the economic slowdown and the rise in interest rates. This context justifies a contraction in sales in 2023, despite which the level will remain high. Housing starts will stagnate in 2023 and the nominal price will grow by around 2%.
September 30, 2020
En este observatorio se desarrolla un modelo que permite estimar el grado de desequilibrio del precio de la vivienda, tanto a escala regional como provincial, así como prever su evolución.
February 12, 2019
In December, neither sales nor mortgage origination made up all the ground lost in October and November, ending the quarter with a loss. This was in a context of job creation, but lower household confidence and greater uncertainty in the sector. New housing permits rose in November after falling for three months.
December 5, 2018
Home sales grew in September, but at a slower rate. Credit approvals for home purchases nevertheless rose more in October than in previous months. Prices continue to trend upwards, but less sharply in Q3 2018. While building authorizations fell in September, the industry did continue creating jobs.
November 19, 2018
Edward Glaeser, one of the best economists to study the growth of cities, has called them "humanity's best invention". However, many of us who live in large urban areas are also aware of the negative externalities generated within them. This suggests the possibility that there is an optimal city size, where benefits and detriments can strike a balance.
November 8, 2018
The Spanish real estate market continues to perform well. Job creation intensified in October, confidence rose in September and financial conditions remain favourable. Home sales thus grew in August and, while approvals suffered a bit of a correction that month, residential investment has risen substantially in Q3 2018.
July 4, 2018
The macroeconomic situation continues to favour home sales. Meanwhile, the issuance of new construction permits in April corrected for some of the growth of the two preceding months, although employment in the sector is still rising. This comes on the heels of a first quarter in which home prices went up in all regions, albeit only modestly in most of them.
March 27, 2018
Real estate fluctuations have important implications for growth and business cycles in China. We investigate how vulnerable are four economic sectors including government, banking, enterprises and households to the prospective price slowdown in the housing market by analyzing the exposure of these sectors on the housing market and conduct a stress test on these sectors.
December 18, 2017
The net effect of the proposed tax changes on house prices will be limited. Doubling the standard deduction will increase the incentives to rent. The lower cap on mortgage interest deduction can lower prices of homes in higher price ranges over time. Other tax proposals will tighten housing market conditions and generate upward pressures on home prices.
March 17, 2016
No signs of a national bubble, despite a 19% increase in home prices since 2012. Home prices in line with fundamentals in most large cities. Resilience to adverse shocks varies significantly by city
