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January 15, 2019
Market Comment | Markets waiting for today’s Parliament vote on Brexit
Financial markets seemed to digest positively the recent announcement from China of potential stimulus measures – such as tax cuts - in order to support its economy amid the release of recent weak Chinese economic data. Investors’ focus will be mainly on today’s result of the vote in the UK parliament on May’s Brexit deal as the future UK-EU relationship is uncertain
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December 18, 2018
Market Comment | High volatility in markets ahead of tomorrow’s FOMC
Volatility persisted in financial markets and risk-aversion mood also remained. The recent speech by Chinese President Xi in which he did not hint at any new measures to support the country’s economy, added some fears about a global economic slowdown . These fears, along with supply concerns also triggered a sharp correction in oil prices.
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December 17, 2018
Market Comment | Markets remain cautious early in the week ahead of FOMC meeting (preview)
Financial markets remained in a cautious mood at the beginning of a week full of monetary policy meetings. The Fed is expected to raise interest rates in this week’s FOMC meeting (see preview), while investors will also be hanging on the outcome of other central banks’ meetings such as those of the Bank of Japan and the Bank of England.
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December 14, 2018
Market Comment | Cautious mood returned to markets at the end of the week
Cautious mood in markets at the end of week, offsetting their improvement as fears over US-China trade relations eased with the announcement of potential tariff cut on US cars imported by China along with the release on bail of the Huawei CFO. However, the positive mood faded as disappointing economic data were released and due to the latest developments with Brexit
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December 13, 2018
Market Comment | The positive mood continues, while the ECB announced the end of QE
Financial markets continue their recovery trend across the board, with the main focus on Europe. The recent improvement in relations between the US and China contributed to improving the mood . The ECB meeting and fresh news in euro-area politics were the main events today.
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December 12, 2018
Market Comment | Markets benefited from potential easing in trade tensions
The mood in markets continued to improve amid the release of the Huawei CFO, coupled with comments from Trump announcing his intention to intervene in the case if necessary. China’s willingness to open its markets to foreign companies also weighed. However, the news announcing a vote of confidence on May, warrant the uncertainty. Tomorrow’s focus will be on the ECB meeting
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December 7, 2018
Market Comment | Risk-off mood drove financial markets at the end of the week
Risk-off mood at the end of the week as increasing trade fears, volatility in oil prices and doubts about US economic growth weighed. The detention of a Chinese tech manager at the request of the US fuelled concerns about worsening relations. These events dispelled the positive mood after the G20 summit, in which China and the US reached a trade truce.
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November 29, 2018
Market Comment | US yields and USD declined after Powell’s comments
Financial markets in cautious mode, with investors waiting for today’s release of FOMC minutes after yesterday's comments by Powell, which had a significant impact on US markets. The release of estimates of the impact of Brexit by the Bank of England and other institutions also focused the market’s attention in a day that saw plenty of economic indicators.
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September 10, 2018
Emerging markets: an uncertain route adjustment
Following a bonanza year in 2017, this year looks like becoming a year of losses for emerging financial markets. Since the beginning of the year these countries’ currencies have depreciated on average by close to 13%, their stock exchanges have fallen by 10% and their risk premiums have increased by nearly 100 bp. Are we on the verge of a crisis in emerging markets?
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February 6, 2018
What is behind the recent movement in markets?
The fall of the stock markets, after accumulating strong appreciations, is taking place in an environment of excessive complacency. Fears of accelerating inflation and more aggressive rate hikes were the initial trigger but were precipitated by the sharp uptick in volatility. Going forward, inflation expectations and the reaction of central banks will be key.
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