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Published on Thursday, February 7, 2019 | Updated on Thursday, February 7, 2019

Global Economic Risk Outlook. First quarter 2019

Summary

The balance of risks has deteriorated on the back of growth concerns in the US and China. A global trade war continues to be relevant despite the current truce, while a resurface of debt tensions in the Eurozone should not be ruled out yet due to high political instability. On a positive note, the U-turn in the Fed’s stance reduces the likelihood of overshooting.

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Sara Baliña
Julián Cubero BBVA Research - Lead Economist
Rodolfo Méndez-Marcano
Jorge Redondo

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Global_Economic_Risk_Outlook_1q19

English - February 7, 2019

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