Published on Thursday, February 7, 2019 | Updated on Thursday, February 7, 2019
Global Economic Risk Outlook. First quarter 2019
Summary
The balance of risks has deteriorated on the back of growth concerns in the US and China. A global trade war continues to be relevant despite the current truce, while a resurface of debt tensions in the Eurozone should not be ruled out yet due to high political instability. On a positive note, the U-turn in the Fed’s stance reduces the likelihood of overshooting.
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Authors
SB
Sara Baliña
JC
Julián Cubero
BBVA Research - Lead Economist
RM
Rodolfo Méndez-Marcano
JR
Jorge Redondo