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Published on Tuesday, June 12, 2018

Turkey | Still high 1Q GDP but already moderating

Summary

GDP grew by 7.4% (YoY) in 1Q18 above both consensus and our expectation (7% vs. 6%). The acceleration in growth on quarterly basis was surprising (2% vs 1.7% in 4Q), mainly supported by the boost in private consumption and the recovery in investment. We forecast 2018 GDP growth to be 3.5-4.0% as we expect adjustment of the economy to become more obvious from now onwards.

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Topics

Authors

Ali Batuhan Barlas BBVA Research - Senior Economist
Seda Guler Mert BBVA Research - Principal Economist
Adem Ileri BBVA Research - Senior Economist
Serkan Kocabas
Alvaro Ortiz BBVA Research - Head of Analysis with Big Data

Documents and files


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Report (PDF)

Turkey-1Q18-GDP-Jun2018

English - June 12, 2018

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