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Published on Tuesday, January 29, 2019 | Updated on Thursday, February 28, 2019

U.S. Economic Outlook. January 2019

Summary

GDP growth to moderate in 2019. Risk of recession remains elevated over the next 24 months. Fed to delay raising rates in 1H19 as it continues to engineer a soft-landing. Labor market slack remains minimal. Inflation expectations down, as pass-through from rising input costs muted. 10-year Treasury to follow shallower path.

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Authors

Boyd Nash-Stacey

Documents and files


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Presentation (PDF)

190129_US_Outlook_Jan19

English - January 29, 2019

Presentation (PDF)

190206_US_OutlookEne19

Spanish - January 29, 2019

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