U.S. Recession Risk Monitor. August 2019
Published on Friday, August 30, 2019 | Updated on Thursday, September 5, 2019
U.S. Recession Risk Monitor. August 2019
Summary
Models suggest 70% probability of recession within 24 months. Increased weakness in global growth. Policy uncertainty whipsawing with trade tensions. At times, key financial markets showing signs of panic-like conditions.
Key points
- Key points:
- Fed under pressure to deliver more accommodation
- Economic fundamentals for households remain solid
Geographies
- Geography Tags
- Global
Topics
Tags
Authors
Nathaniel Karp
Boyd Nash-Stacey
Documents and files
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