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October 22, 2024
The ECB cut its key interest rates by 25 basis points, as expected, following signals given by Lagarde in September in her speech at the European Parliament, due to lower inflation and weak activity data. We expect another 25 basis point cut in December.
June 9, 2022
Los altos niveles de deuda pública acumulados desde 2020 y la necesidad de reducirla llevan al debate sobre las reglas fiscales sobre las cuentas nacionales, más allá de que Europa apruebe instrumentos de financiación comunes para afrontar los grandes retos estratégicos que se avecinan.
May 12, 2020
Banxico still has a very inappropriate restrictive monetary policy stance. Banxico should cut the policy rate by at least 75bp; the odds of a milder 50bp cut are not low, but we expect Banxico to take a bolder step and cut rates 75bp to 5.25%.
April 15, 2020
The economy is suffering from an unprecedented health crisis caused by COVID-19. Although some countries were able to, most could not control the initial outbreak of the infection and were forced to confine people to their homes and partially or completely lockdown non-essential economic activities.
March 9, 2020
In July 2019, the US officially achieved the largest economic expansion since records began. This growth continued in spite of the obstacles encountered as a result of the trade war with China and the global industrial recession.
December 19, 2019
There was much curiosity surrounding Christine Lagarde's first press conference following a meeting of the ECB's Governing Council. This was not so much over the tone of monetary policy—which followed the same lines as in Mario Draghi's era—but over how she would act in a fractured field where some did not welcome her.
December 12, 2019
Overall, Mrs Lagarde’ first post-meeting press conference went as expected, with an outspoken communication style when talking about different issues not strictly related to monetary policy, and an unchanged line on the monetary policy stance.
November 19, 2019
Three-parts accommodation, one-part trade détente baked into 2020 outlook, but is it enough to avoid a downturn? Fed's Art of War: Let your plans be dark and impenetrable as night, and when you move, fall like a thunderbolt.
