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May 5, 2020
Although an early deterioration in the industrial sector was expected due to the early halting of global value chains, the effect on consumption in March seems to be greater than that shown by the retail sales data to date.
April 15, 2020
This publication details the evolution of purchases made with BBVA’s credit and debit cards, as well as those recorded in BBVA's point of sale (POS) terminals. Since March 20th, the fall in weekly card spending has stabilized at around -60% YoY, despite the upturn in food purchases to 65% YoY.
December 16, 2019
The world became more complex for all in economic terms because of the increase in trade tensions between the great powers. Uncertainties that negatively affected the financial markets generating great volatilities in the stock markets, as well as in the debt and currency markets at a global level.
July 24, 2019
The Spanish economy is showing enviable resistance in the face of an internal and external environment surrounded by uncertainty. When GDP data is published for the second quarter, it is highly likely that growth will have remained between 2% and 3% year-on-year.
April 29, 2019
A profile of the Colombian consumer was created by analyzing different variables that determine their consumption decisions, such as: age, sex, income, household size, source of income, form and place of payment, purchasing power and consumption habits.
October 23, 2018
Modern retail sales will show a good performance in the remainder of this year and next. Later, with the demographic bonus, the increase in the purchasing power of households, and the growing access to digital media that will boost online sales, the sector has room to continue expanding.
June 12, 2018
GDP grew by 7.4% (YoY) in 1Q18 above both consensus and our expectation (7% vs. 6%). The acceleration in growth on quarterly basis was surprising (2% vs 1.7% in 4Q), mainly supported by the boost in private consumption and the recovery in investment. We forecast 2018 GDP growth to be 3.5-4.0% as we expect adjustment of the economy to become more obvious from now onwards.
June 12, 2017
1Q17 GDP surprised positively by growing 5% YoY compared to the market (3.4%) and our expectations (3.2%). Net exports and public spending were the main drivers of growth while the positive surprise factor was the solid private consumption growth. The risks on our 3% whole year growth forecast are clearly on the upside.
June 5, 2017
The growth rate of the Portuguese economy in 1Q17 accelerated to 1.0% QoQ, surpassing the BBVA Research estimate (0.2% QoQ). The quarterly growth was due to the positive contribution of external demand (0.8pp), given the strength exports have once again shown in a context of import slowdown.
September 27, 2016
The Portuguese economy grew by 0.3% QoQ in 2Q16, broadly in line with projections and fulfilling expectations of a slowdown in private consumption and a boost to exports. Available data allow us to envisage growth in 3T16 holding at around 0.3%.
