Política

El estrés en los medios, correlacionado con los nuevos contagios, ha bajado últimamente. Por sector, varía según su naturaleza. La política es el centro del debate. El estrés relacionado con los gobiernos se relaja a medida que eliminan restricciones, pero hay un sesgo entre el tono en prensa nacional e internacional.

Clinton increases lead in post-debate polls, including key swing states such as Florida, Colorado, Pennsylvania and Ohio. Low number of undecided voters and disparate views on the candidates underlie growing polarization. Our state-level vote-share model still projects a Democrat victory in Electoral College despite national estimates implying a tighter race.

Polls show Clinton as the clear frontrunner among the Democrats, while the Republican nominee is unclear. Averaging the GOP candidates’ standings in each predictor, Rubio currently has a slight lead followed by Cruz and Bush. Economic-based models and market-based predictors are projecting a victory for the Democrats.