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April 28, 2020
COVID-19 tends to expand current account surplus while increase capital inflows under capital and financial account. Altogether its impact on China's Balance of Payments is limited.
March 9, 2020
The economists who attempt to predict the consequences of interactions between events, policies and institutions are storytellers. Stories that interpret and define economic reality, such as the epidemic triggered by COVID-19.
October 24, 2019
At the end of the Second World War a consensus was forged between the advanced economies of the world, led by the U.S., around the idea of seeking a world without barriers to trade in goods and services and capital flows. Thus, for decades, the United States adopted a policy of trade opening and promotion of global trade.
October 7, 2019
The ever-escalating trade war between the U.S. and China has become a "new normal" in the international trade scene. Since January 2018, the U.S. average import tariffs on Chinese goods have risen from 3 to 23 percent. Meanwhile, China's retaliatory import tariffs on U.S. goods rose from 7 to 24 percent.
May 9, 2019
Financial markets rattled for the third straight day as US-China trade tensions festered ahead of crucial negotiations between high-level officials in Washington, starting today. Trump’s rebuke that ‘China broke the deal’, accelerated the sell-off in equities.
May 8, 2019
The 'risk-off' mood persisted across markets today as global growth concerns mounted in the wake of escalating US-China trade conflict, downbeat China exports data, and a flair-up in geopolitical tensions in the Middle East with Iran poised to breach parts of the nuclear deal.
May 7, 2019
Caution prevailed across financial markets, as US-China trade tensions ratcheted up further today. The slight downward revision in Eurozone growth forecast by European commission did not help either. Safe-haven bonds continued to attract fresh demand, while equity markets declined.
May 6, 2019
Risk-off mood in financial markets. Trump’s threat to introduce further tariff barriers against China took a heavy toll on equity markets today, boosting flows towards safe-haven bonds, amid mute inflation pressure.
May 3, 2019
Safe-haven bond yields increased and equity markets retreated from their recent highs, while bond investors searched for an extra-yield, in turn, narrowing peripheral and HY spreads, as Fed Chair Powell guided markets to a neutral stance on interest rates.
April 30, 2019
Financial markets were calm today, ahead of tomorrow’s FOMC meeting, and today’s mixed signals - reassuring Eurozone GDP growth, softer Chinese PMI outturns and cautious company earnings results.
